Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Knowshon Moreno
Knowshon Moreno

Player breakdown

Knowshon Moreno

Georgia · 2009 Draft Class

5-11217 lbs1st round, 12th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

94%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2009DEN1624794772821321,160
2010DEN1318277953737231,151
2011DEN7371790111011280
2012DEN81385254211670692
2013DEN162411,038106054831,586
2014MIA3311481180156
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2007GeorgiaSEC72391,27512182271,502
2008GeorgiaSEC02271,33816273291,667

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

91%

ML model output

Context Prob

91%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 105.8 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
1,584 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396

Top Negative Factors

4.27s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
7.68 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
45 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)