Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kolby Smith
Kolby Smith

Player breakdown

Kolby Smith

Louisville · 2007 Draft Class

5-11220 lbs5th round, 148th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008KAN735100110520152
2009KAN41533029042
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003LouisvilleACC112001525
2004LouisvilleACC3333404987427
2005LouisvilleACC4104491618196687
2006LouisvilleACC5138780722183963

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

26%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.50s forty — average speed+0.395
4.38 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 90.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.34s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
50 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)