Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams

Player breakdown

Kyren Williams

Notre Dame · 2022 Draft Class

5-9194 lbs5th round, 164th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
Low1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

39%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022LAR103513909760215
2023LAR122281,144123220631,350
2024LAR163161,299143418221,481
2025LAR172591,252103628131,533
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2019Notre DameFBS Independents042601329
2020Notre DameFBS Independents62111,12513353131,438
2021Notre DameFBS Independents02041,00214423591,361

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

39%

ML model output

Context Prob

39%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.65s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 85.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
31 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
7.41 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)