Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Lamar Miller
Lamar Miller

Player breakdown

Lamar Miller

Miami (FL) · 2012 Draft Class

5-11212 lbs4th round, 97th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~35
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

95%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2012MIA135125016450295
2013MIA161777092261700879
2014MIA162161,09983827511,374
2015MIA1619487284739721,269
2016HOU142681,07353118811,261
2017HOU1623888833632731,215
2018HOU1421097352516311,136
2020CHI10002606
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2010MiamiACC01036336964697
2011MiamiACC02271,272917851,357

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

95%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 107.6 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.34s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

26 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Rb best season rush share-0.220
Rb rush share of scrimmage-0.182

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)