Predicting the Pros
Predictions/LaRod Stephens-Howling
LaRod Stephens-Howling

Player breakdown

LaRod Stephens-Howling

Pittsburgh · 2009 Draft Class

7th round, 240th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2009ARI1661501083198
2010ARI13231131161110224
2011ARI14431670132342401
2012ARI141103564171060462
2013PIT16190211030
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2005PittsburghACC0964340941475
2006PittsburghACC01788939192311,124
2007PittsburghACC07832011373393
2008PittsburghACC070283510101384

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

6%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
16 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)