Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Larry Rountree
Larry Rountree

Player breakdown

Larry Rountree

Missouri · 2021 Draft Class

6th round, 198th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2021LAC12368711-1086
2022LAC413190214033
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2017MissouriSEC01126296220649
2018MissouriSEC71981,0121013591,071
2019MissouriSEC718682991370899
2020MissouriSEC820997214151001,072

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.62s forty — slow speed+0.395
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
39 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)