Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Latavius Murray
Latavius Murray

Player breakdown

Latavius Murray

Central Florida · 2013 Draft Class

6th round, 181st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
Low1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014OAK15824242171430567
2015OAK162661,06664123201,298
2016OAK14195788123326401,052
2017MIN162168428151030945
2018MIN161405786221410719
2019NOR161466375342351872
2020NOR151466564231761832
2021BAL14119501610750576
2022DEN121607035261240827
2023BUF16793004171190419
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2008UCFBig 12246132314136
2010UCFBig 1209353310547580
2011UCFBig 12098549817242791
2012UCFBig 1291981,10615272311,337

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

26%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
42 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)