Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Laurence Maroney
Laurence Maroney

Player breakdown

Laurence Maroney

Minnesota · 2006 Draft Class

6-0217 lbs1st round, 21st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~41
EliteAll-Conference x1Missed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

91%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2006NWE141757456221941939
2007NWE13185835641160951
2008NWE32893000093
2009NWE15194757914990856
2010DEN4367404500124
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003MinnesotaBig Ten131581,08682141,100
2004MinnesotaBig Ten01881,243123161,259
2005MinnesotaBig Ten02551,35510151581,513

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

88%

ML model output

Context Prob

88%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 107.7 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.48s forty — average speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
20 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
397.1 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)