Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Leon Washington
Leon Washington

Player breakdown

Leon Washington

Florida St. · 2006 Draft Class

5-8201 lbs4th round, 117th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~44
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

24%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2006NYJ161516504252700920
2007NYJ16713533362130566
2008NYJ16764486473552803
2009NYJ7723310151310462
2010SEA162710019790179
2011SEA1653248110480296
2012SEA16238314310114
2013NWE21100001
2014TEN1613570221592216
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Florida StateACC8563341995429
2004Florida StateACC012675661490846
2005Florida StateACC091400319243643

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

24%

ML model output

Context Prob

24%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.42s forty — average speed+0.395
4.21 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 84.2 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.37s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
42 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)