Predicting the Pros
Predictions/LeSean McCoy
LeSean McCoy

Player breakdown

LeSean McCoy

Pittsburgh · 2009 Draft Class

5-10198 lbs2nd round, 53rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~38
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

60%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2009PHI161556374403080945
2010PHI152071,08077859221,672
2011PHI152731,309174831531,624
2012PHI1220084025437331,213
2013PHI163141,60795253922,146
2014PHI163121,31952815501,474
2015BUF1220389533229221,187
2016BUF152341,267135035611,623
2017BUF162871,13865944821,586
2018BUF141615143342380752
2019KAN131014654281811646
2020TAM1010310151010132
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2007PittsburghACC82761,32814332441,572
2008PittsburghACC02841,40321312991,702

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

60%

ML model output

Context Prob

60%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,637 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.50s forty — average speed+0.395
36 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

8.60 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)