Player breakdown
Lew Nichols
Central Michigan · 2023 Draft Class
7th round, 235th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
16%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 0 | 19 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 |
| 2020 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 3 | 78 | 508 | 4 | 10 | 109 | 617 |
| 2021 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 10 | 311 | 1,710 | 15 | 38 | 300 | 2,010 |
| 2022 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | 0 | 176 | 616 | 6 | 21 | 128 | 744 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
16%
ML model output
Context Prob
16%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
28 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324