Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Lionel Gates
Lionel Gates

Player breakdown

Lionel Gates

Louisville · 2005 Draft Class

6-0222 lbs7th round, 236th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003LouisvilleACC555336313168504
2004LouisvilleACC07336571071436

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.60s forty — slow speed+0.395
2.27 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 90.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.10s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
23 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)