Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Lorenzo Booker
Lorenzo Booker

Player breakdown

Lorenzo Booker

Florida St. · 2007 Draft Class

5-10191 lbs3rd round, 71st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~42
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

17%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2007MIA7281250282370362
2008PHI1020530611064
2010MIN4000532032
2011MIN15135208820134
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Florida StateACC851291319158449
2004Florida StateACC3153786424160946
2005Florida StateACC0112550435260810
2006Florida StateACC0121526228303829

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

17%

ML model output

Context Prob

17%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.46s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 87.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
4.95 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.206

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.305

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)