Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Malcolm Perry
Malcolm Perry

Player breakdown

Malcolm Perry

Navy · 2020 Draft Class

7th round, 246th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~29
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2016NavyAmerican Athletic084300043
2017NavyAmerican Athletic01221,0689133031,371
2018NavyAmerican Athletic01721,087791671,254
2019NavyAmerican Athletic112671,80421001,804

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

30%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
40 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)