Player breakdown
Marcus Murphy
Missouri · 2015 Draft Class
5-9198 lbs7th round, 230th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
38%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | NOR | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2016 | NOR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2017 | BUF | 1 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 48 |
| 2018 | BUF | 11 | 52 | 250 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 0 | 276 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Missouri | SEC | 0 | 22 | 181 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 186 |
| 2012 | Missouri | SEC | 0 | 46 | 251 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 273 |
| 2013 | Missouri | SEC | 0 | 85 | 571 | 9 | 10 | 71 | 642 |
| 2014 | Missouri | SEC | 0 | 165 | 767 | 4 | 26 | 196 | 963 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
38%
ML model output
Context Prob
38%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.61s forty — slow speed+0.395
4.86 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.295
Top Negative Factors
4.40s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.84 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300