Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Marcus Thomas
Marcus Thomas

Player breakdown

Marcus Thomas

Texas-El Paso · 2008 Draft Class

6-0213 lbs5th round, 166th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~42
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

43%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2004UTEPConference USA035141037148
2005UTEPConference USA01317205304421,162
2006UTEPConference USA6156513539242755
2007UTEPConference USA02271,16616202681,434

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

43%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.59s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 87.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
32 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)