Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Marion Grice
Marion Grice

Player breakdown

Marion Grice

Arizona St. · 2014 Draft Class

6-0208 lbs6th round, 201st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

66%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014ARI1015411729070
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012Arizona StateBig 12810367911414251,104
2013Arizona StateBig 12019199614504381,434

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

66%

ML model output

Context Prob

66%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.67s forty — slow speed+0.395
39 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300
91 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
380.7 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)