Player breakdown
Mark Ingram
Alabama · 2011 Draft Class
1st round, 28th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~36
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
81%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | NOR | 10 | 122 | 474 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 520 |
| 2012 | NOR | 16 | 156 | 602 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 631 |
| 2013 | NOR | 11 | 78 | 386 | 1 | 7 | 68 | 0 | 454 |
| 2014 | NOR | 13 | 226 | 964 | 9 | 29 | 145 | 0 | 1,109 |
| 2015 | NOR | 12 | 166 | 769 | 6 | 50 | 405 | 0 | 1,174 |
| 2016 | NOR | 16 | 205 | 1,043 | 6 | 46 | 319 | 4 | 1,362 |
| 2017 | NOR | 16 | 230 | 1,124 | 12 | 58 | 416 | 0 | 1,540 |
| 2018 | NOR | 12 | 138 | 645 | 6 | 21 | 170 | 1 | 815 |
| 2019 | BAL | 15 | 202 | 1,018 | 10 | 26 | 247 | 5 | 1,265 |
| 2020 | BAL | 11 | 72 | 299 | 2 | 6 | 50 | 0 | 349 |
| 2021 | NOR | 7 | 68 | 260 | 1 | 20 | 138 | 0 | 398 |
| 2022 | NOR | 10 | 62 | 233 | 1 | 16 | 68 | 0 | 301 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 135 | 702 | 12 | 6 | 46 | 748 |
| 2009 | Alabama | SEC | 10 | 271 | 1,658 | 17 | 32 | 334 | 1,992 |
| 2010 | Alabama | SEC | 0 | 146 | 816 | 11 | 20 | 252 | 1,068 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
68%
ML model output
Context Prob
68%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
44 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284