Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mark Walton
Mark Walton

Player breakdown

Mark Walton

Miami (FL) · 2018 Draft Class

4th round, 112th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2018CIN1414340541075
2019MIA753201015890290
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2015MiamiACC0121438819236674
2016MiamiACC91921,06514262421,307
2017MiamiACC0564283791519

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

20%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
27 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)