Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Marlon Mack
Marlon Mack

Player breakdown

Marlon Mack

South Florida · 2017 Draft Class

5-11213 lbs4th round, 143rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~30
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

89%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2017IND14933583212251583
2018IND1219590891710311,011
2019IND142471,0918148201,173
2020IND14260330056
2021IND6281010280109
2022DEN6168418991183
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2014South FloridaAmerican Athletic52021,0419211601,201
2015South FloridaAmerican Athletic01931,2738161111,384
2016South FloridaAmerican Athletic111611,13715262151,352

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

89%

ML model output

Context Prob

89%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.50s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.8 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

63 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output-0.174
Conference-adjusted speed score: 26.0 — speed measured against quality competition-0.142

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)