Player breakdown
Marshawn Lynch
California · 2007 Draft Class
5-11215 lbs1st round, 12th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~40
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
94%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | BUF | 13 | 280 | 1,115 | 7 | 18 | 184 | 0 | 1,299 |
| 2008 | BUF | 15 | 250 | 1,036 | 8 | 47 | 300 | 1 | 1,336 |
| 2009 | BUF | 13 | 120 | 450 | 2 | 28 | 179 | 0 | 629 |
| 2010 | SEA | 12 | 165 | 573 | 6 | 21 | 138 | 0 | 711 |
| 2011 | SEA | 15 | 285 | 1,204 | 12 | 28 | 212 | 1 | 1,416 |
| 2012 | SEA | 16 | 315 | 1,590 | 11 | 23 | 196 | 1 | 1,786 |
| 2013 | SEA | 16 | 301 | 1,257 | 12 | 36 | 316 | 2 | 1,573 |
| 2014 | SEA | 16 | 280 | 1,306 | 13 | 37 | 367 | 4 | 1,673 |
| 2015 | SEA | 7 | 111 | 417 | 3 | 13 | 80 | 0 | 497 |
| 2017 | OAK | 15 | 207 | 891 | 7 | 20 | 151 | 0 | 1,042 |
| 2018 | OAK | 6 | 90 | 376 | 3 | 15 | 84 | 0 | 460 |
| 2019 | SEA | 1 | 12 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | California | ACC | 0 | 66 | 602 | 7 | 17 | 137 | 739 |
| 2005 | California | ACC | 0 | 172 | 1,052 | 7 | 13 | 98 | 1,150 |
| 2006 | California | ACC | 0 | 203 | 1,245 | 9 | 31 | 311 | 1,556 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
91%
ML model output
Context Prob
91%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.46s forty — average speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
4.55s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
7.24 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
61 career receptions — limited volume-0.278