Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Matt Forte
Matt Forte

Player breakdown

Matt Forte

Tulane · 2008 Draft Class

6-1217 lbs2nd round, 44th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

62%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008CHI163161,23886347741,715
2009CHI1625892945747101,400
2010CHI162371,06965154731,616
2011CHI1220399735249011,487
2012CHI152481,09454434011,434
2013CHI162891,33997459431,933
2014CHI162661,038610280841,846
2015CHI1321889844438931,287
2016NYJ1421881373026311,076
2017NYJ121033812372931674
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2004TulaneAmerican Athletic3140624420180804
2005TulaneAmerican Athletic3169655423163818
2006TulaneAmerican Athletic01398087273481,156
2007TulaneAmerican Athletic03612,12723322822,409

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

62%

ML model output

Context Prob

62%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.44s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.96 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381
Catch radius: 89.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.23s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
11.10 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
102 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)