Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Matt Jones
Matt Jones

Player breakdown

Matt Jones

Florida · 2015 Draft Class

6-2231 lbs3rd round, 95th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2015WAS131444903193041794
2016WAS79946038730533
2017IND5514000014
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012FloridaSEC2522753310285
2013FloridaSEC2793392525364
2014FloridaSEC516681761165882
2025Southern MissSun Belt137630111288389

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

10%

ML model output

Context Prob

10%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.61s forty — slow speed+0.395
3.82 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 89.8 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.20s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)