Player breakdown
Matthew Dayes
North Carolina St. · 2017 Draft Class
5-9205 lbs7th round, 252nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
65%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CLE | 16 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 42 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | NC State | ACC | 0 | 63 | 252 | 4 | 10 | 173 | 425 |
| 2014 | NC State | ACC | 0 | 91 | 495 | 6 | 31 | 303 | 798 |
| 2015 | NC State | ACC | 0 | 134 | 865 | 12 | 24 | 172 | 1,037 |
| 2016 | NC State | ACC | 6 | 240 | 1,119 | 10 | 31 | 254 | 1,373 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
65%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.47s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 83.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
38 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.299
96 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
726.6 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264