Player breakdown
Maurice Jones-Drew
UCLA · 2006 Draft Class
5-7207 lbs2nd round, 60th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~41
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
89%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | JAX | 16 | 166 | 941 | 13 | 46 | 436 | 2 | 1,377 |
| 2007 | JAX | 15 | 167 | 768 | 9 | 40 | 407 | 0 | 1,175 |
| 2008 | JAX | 16 | 197 | 824 | 12 | 62 | 565 | 2 | 1,389 |
| 2009 | JAX | 16 | 312 | 1,391 | 15 | 53 | 374 | 1 | 1,765 |
| 2010 | JAX | 14 | 299 | 1,324 | 5 | 34 | 317 | 2 | 1,641 |
| 2011 | JAX | 16 | 343 | 1,606 | 8 | 43 | 374 | 3 | 1,980 |
| 2012 | JAX | 6 | 86 | 414 | 1 | 14 | 86 | 1 | 500 |
| 2013 | JAX | 15 | 234 | 803 | 5 | 43 | 314 | 0 | 1,117 |
| 2014 | OAK | 12 | 43 | 96 | 0 | 11 | 71 | 0 | 167 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | UCLA | Big Ten | 0 | 135 | 881 | 8 | 18 | 262 | 1,143 |
| 2005 | UCLA | Big Ten | 0 | 183 | 900 | 13 | 29 | 424 | 1,324 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
89%
ML model output
Context Prob
89%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Conference-adjusted speed score: 111.5 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.39s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
4.38s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
47 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output-0.174