Player breakdown
Melvin Gordon
Wisconsin · 2015 Draft Class
6-1215 lbs1st round, 15th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
EliteDoak Walker x1All-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 2198NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
85%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | SDG | 14 | 184 | 641 | 0 | 33 | 192 | 0 | 833 |
| 2016 | SDG | 13 | 254 | 997 | 10 | 41 | 419 | 2 | 1,416 |
| 2017 | LAC | 16 | 284 | 1,105 | 8 | 58 | 476 | 4 | 1,581 |
| 2018 | LAC | 12 | 175 | 885 | 10 | 50 | 490 | 4 | 1,375 |
| 2019 | LAC | 12 | 162 | 612 | 8 | 42 | 296 | 1 | 908 |
| 2020 | DEN | 15 | 215 | 986 | 9 | 32 | 158 | 1 | 1,144 |
| 2021 | DEN | 16 | 203 | 918 | 8 | 28 | 213 | 2 | 1,131 |
| 2022 | DEN | 10 | 90 | 318 | 2 | 25 | 223 | 0 | 541 |
| 2023 | BAL | 4 | 26 | 81 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 127 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 0 | 20 | 98 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
| 2012 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 0 | 62 | 621 | 3 | 2 | 65 | 686 |
| 2013 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 7 | 181 | 1,466 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 1,471 |
| 2014 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 12 | 309 | 2,336 | 26 | 17 | 151 | 2,487 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
57%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
4.52s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 90.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Top Negative Factors
4.07s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness-0.665
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
11.57 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360