Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mewelde Moore
Mewelde Moore

Player breakdown

Mewelde Moore

Tulane · 2004 Draft Class

5-11209 lbs4th round, 119th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
Low1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

33%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2004MIN10653790272380617
2005MIN1615566213733921,001
2006MIN16241310464681599
2007MIN122011306480161
2008PIT161405885403201908
2009PIT16351180211532271
2010PIT1533990262050304
2011PIT12221570111041261
2012IND913200677197
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003TulaneAmerican Athletic36224131294335

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

33%

ML model output

Context Prob

33%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

37.2 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.65s forty — slow speed+0.395
1.60 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

4.12s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)