Player breakdown
Michael Bush
Louisville · 2007 Draft Class
6-1243 lbs4th round, 100th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~42
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
73%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | OAK | 15 | 95 | 421 | 3 | 19 | 162 | 0 | 583 |
| 2009 | OAK | 16 | 123 | 589 | 3 | 17 | 105 | 0 | 694 |
| 2010 | OAK | 14 | 158 | 655 | 8 | 18 | 194 | 0 | 849 |
| 2011 | OAK | 16 | 256 | 977 | 7 | 37 | 418 | 1 | 1,395 |
| 2012 | CHI | 13 | 114 | 411 | 5 | 9 | 83 | 0 | 494 |
| 2013 | CHI | 15 | 63 | 197 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 1 | 245 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Louisville | ACC | 5 | 20 | 90 | 0 | 4 | 59 | 149 |
| 2004 | Louisville | ACC | 0 | 120 | 638 | 7 | 11 | 155 | 793 |
| 2005 | Louisville | ACC | 9 | 189 | 1,049 | 23 | 20 | 245 | 1,294 |
| 2006 | Louisville | ACC | 1 | 17 | 128 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 131 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
73%
ML model output
Context Prob
73%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.62s forty — slow speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.98 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381
35 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
36 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
4 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.241
591 avg yards/season — modest output-0.170