Player breakdown
Michael Carter
North Carolina · 2021 Draft Class
5-7201 lbs4th round, 107th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | NYJ | 14 | 147 | 639 | 4 | 36 | 325 | 0 | 964 |
| 2022 | NYJ | 16 | 114 | 402 | 3 | 41 | 288 | 0 | 690 |
| 2023 | ARI | 6 | 22 | 149 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 182 |
| 2024 | ARI | 3 | 35 | 131 | 1 | 11 | 57 | 0 | 188 |
| 2025 | ARI | 13 | 92 | 333 | 1 | 33 | 267 | 0 | 600 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | North Carolina | ACC | 0 | 97 | 558 | 8 | 11 | 100 | 658 |
| 2018 | North Carolina | ACC | 3 | 84 | 597 | 2 | 25 | 135 | 732 |
| 2019 | North Carolina | ACC | 0 | 159 | 919 | 3 | 20 | 156 | 1,075 |
| 2020 | North Carolina | ACC | 0 | 156 | 1,245 | 9 | 25 | 267 | 1,512 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
45%
ML model output
Context Prob
45%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.50s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
Top Negative Factors
3.98s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness-0.665
7.52 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
81 career receptions — limited volume-0.278