Player breakdown
Michael Smith
Utah St. · 2012 Draft Class
6-0183 lbs7th round, 212th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~38
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
26%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Utah State | Mountain West | 0 | 46 | 290 | 4 | 19 | 220 | 510 |
| 2010 | Utah State | Mountain West | 2 | 24 | 153 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 176 |
| 2011 | Utah State | Mountain West | 5 | 102 | 713 | 7 | 15 | 171 | 884 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
26%
ML model output
Context Prob
26%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.83 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.295
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
17 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.54 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
37 career receptions — limited volume-0.278