Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Michael Turner
Michael Turner

Player breakdown

Michael Turner

Northern Illinois · 2004 Draft Class

5-10237 lbs5th round, 154th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

75%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2004SDG14201040480112
2005SDG16573353000335
2006SDG138050223470549
2007SDG167131614160332
2008ATL163761,6991764101,740
2009ATL11178871105350906
2010ATL163341,37112128501,456
2011ATL163011,340111716801,508
2012ATL1622280010191281928
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Northern IllinoisMid-American102601,3869162031,589
2025BaylorBig 127613121631343

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

75%

ML model output

Context Prob

75%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

53.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
1,589 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.49s forty — average speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

4.15s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
16 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)