Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mike Davis
Mike Davis

Player breakdown

Mike Davis

South Carolina · 2015 Draft Class

5-9217 lbs4th round, 126th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
Medium1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

51%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2015SFO635580738096
2016SFO819501325075
2017SEA6682400151310371
2018SEA151125144342141728
2019CAR52200002
2020CAR1516564265937321,015
2021ATL171385033442591762
2022BAL8818024022
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012South CarolinaSEC2522752435310
2013South CarolinaSEC81941,13411323421,476
2014South CarolinaSEC61869279303491,276

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

51%

ML model output

Context Prob

51%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.61s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
23 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.18s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
66 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
4 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.241

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)