Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mike Hart
Mike Hart

Player breakdown

Mike Hart

Michigan · 2008 Draft Class

5-9206 lbs6th round, 202nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

39%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008IND5290118027
2009IND9267015540124
2010IND74318516250210
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2004MichiganBig Ten82611,3729252331,605
2005MichiganBig Ten4131588414119707
2006MichiganBig Ten93011,51514151271,642
2007MichiganBig Ten62331,232127431,275

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

39%

ML model output

Context Prob

39%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.69s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 83.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
41 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)