Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mike Weber
Mike Weber

Player breakdown

Mike Weber

Ohio St. · 2019 Draft Class

5-10211 lbs7th round, 218th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

70%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2016Ohio StateBig Ten71771,072920871,159
2017Ohio StateBig Ten09660810978686
2018Ohio StateBig Ten3157858520104962

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

70%

ML model output

Context Prob

70%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.47s forty — average speed+0.395
Conference-adjusted speed score: 105.7 — speed measured against quality competition+0.309
Catch radius: 86.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

49 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
374.3 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)