Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Montario Hardesty
Montario Hardesty

Player breakdown

Montario Hardesty

Tennessee · 2010 Draft Class

6-0225 lbs2nd round, 59th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

60%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2011CLE10882660141220388
2012CLE136527112160287
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2005TennesseeSEC061800018
2006TennesseeSEC41043824654436
2007TennesseeSEC382338324342
2008TennesseeSEC5762716424295
2009TennesseeSEC92821,34513253021,647

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

60%

ML model output

Context Prob

60%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 110.7 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.49s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.97 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

4.14s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)