Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Montee Ball
Montee Ball

Player breakdown

Montee Ball

Wisconsin · 2013 Draft Class

5-10214 lbs2nd round, 58th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
EliteDoak Walker x1All-American x1All-Conference x1Missed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

83%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013DEN161205594201450704
2014DEN55517219620234
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009WisconsinBig Ten3983914992483
2010WisconsinBig Ten71418641716128992
2011WisconsinBig Ten02751,75932202552,014
2012WisconsinBig Ten113561,8302210721,902

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

68%

ML model output

Context Prob

68%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
4.66s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.40s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
9.41 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
55 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)