Player breakdown
Najee Harris
Alabama · 2021 Draft Class
1st round, 24th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~28
EliteDoak Walker x1All-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 247NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
83%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | PIT | 17 | 307 | 1,200 | 7 | 74 | 467 | 3 | 1,667 |
| 2022 | PIT | 17 | 272 | 1,034 | 7 | 41 | 229 | 3 | 1,263 |
| 2023 | PIT | 17 | 255 | 1,035 | 8 | 29 | 170 | 0 | 1,205 |
| 2024 | PIT | 17 | 263 | 1,043 | 6 | 36 | 283 | 0 | 1,326 |
| 2025 | LAC | 3 | 15 | 61 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 86 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Alabama | SEC | 3 | 55 | 306 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 329 |
| 2018 | Alabama | SEC | 4 | 102 | 679 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 682 |
| 2019 | Alabama | SEC | 10 | 185 | 1,088 | 11 | 27 | 304 | 1,392 |
| 2020 | Alabama | SEC | 10 | 251 | 1,466 | 26 | 43 | 425 | 1,891 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
47%
ML model output
Context Prob
47%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
55 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284