Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Nate Ilaoa
Nate Ilaoa

Player breakdown

Nate Ilaoa

Hawaii · 2007 Draft Class

5-9245 lbs7th round, 236th overallAge: ~39
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

60%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2005Hawai'iMountain West685643636274917
2006Hawai'iMountain West811389313637811,674

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

60%

ML model output

Context Prob

60%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.77s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

4.42s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
99 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
0.25 TDs/catch — primary red-zone usage pattern-0.196

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)