Player breakdown
Nick Chubb
Georgia · 2018 Draft Class
5-11227 lbs2nd round, 35th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
82%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | CLE | 16 | 192 | 996 | 8 | 20 | 149 | 2 | 1,145 |
| 2019 | CLE | 16 | 298 | 1,494 | 8 | 36 | 278 | 0 | 1,772 |
| 2020 | CLE | 12 | 190 | 1,067 | 12 | 16 | 150 | 0 | 1,217 |
| 2021 | CLE | 14 | 228 | 1,259 | 8 | 20 | 174 | 1 | 1,433 |
| 2022 | CLE | 17 | 302 | 1,525 | 12 | 27 | 239 | 1 | 1,764 |
| 2023 | CLE | 2 | 28 | 170 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 191 |
| 2024 | CLE | 8 | 102 | 332 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 363 |
| 2025 | HOU | 15 | 122 | 506 | 3 | 13 | 67 | 0 | 573 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Georgia | SEC | 10 | 186 | 1,281 | 12 | 18 | 213 | 1,494 |
| 2015 | Georgia | SEC | 0 | 92 | 747 | 7 | 4 | 32 | 779 |
| 2016 | Georgia | SEC | 5 | 207 | 988 | 7 | 5 | 86 | 1,074 |
| 2017 | Georgia | SEC | 8 | 191 | 1,175 | 13 | 3 | 31 | 1,206 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
82%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Conference-adjusted speed score: 108.8 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.52s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.96 — elite athletic ceiling+0.359
Top Negative Factors
4.25s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
30 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Rb rush share of scrimmage-0.182