Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Owen Marecic
Owen Marecic

Player breakdown

Owen Marecic

Stanford · 2011 Draft Class

4th round, 124th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2011CLE14480531039
2012CLE100000000
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2007StanfordACC056042632
2008StanfordACC000042525
2009StanfordACC481548132147
2010StanfordACC320424975117

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
55.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.325
9 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)