Player breakdown
Paul Perkins
UCLA · 2016 Draft Class
5-11185 lbs5th round, 149th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
21%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | NYG | 14 | 112 | 456 | 0 | 15 | 162 | 0 | 618 |
| 2017 | NYG | 11 | 41 | 90 | 0 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 136 |
| 2019 | DET | 4 | 12 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 38 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | UCLA | Big Ten | 5 | 126 | 570 | 5 | 23 | 286 | 856 |
| 2014 | UCLA | Big Ten | 6 | 230 | 1,378 | 7 | 26 | 201 | 1,579 |
| 2015 | UCLA | Big Ten | 0 | 225 | 1,275 | 13 | 27 | 234 | 1,509 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
21%
ML model output
Context Prob
21%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
28 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175
Rb rush share of scrimmage+0.123
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
8.54 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Physical upside: 0.54 — average athletic ceiling-0.300