Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Pierre Strong
Pierre Strong

Player breakdown

Pierre Strong

South Dakota St. · 2022 Draft Class

5-11207 lbs4th round, 127th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

90%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022NWE151010017420142
2023CLE176329115470338
2024CLE14261080141040212
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2019South Dakota StateMVFC01431,0188141691,187
2021South Dakota StateMVFC122261,57917211441,723

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

90%

ML model output

Context Prob

90%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.37s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
1,455 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.376
Catch radius: 89.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

8.32 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.339
35 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Conference-adjusted speed score: 28.4 — speed measured against quality competition-0.142

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)