Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Quinn Johnson
Quinn Johnson

Player breakdown

Quinn Johnson

LSU · 2009 Draft Class

5th round, 145th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~39
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2009GNB90002404
2010GNB11000326026
2011TEN4000330030
2013TEN40000000
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2006LSUSEC0260006
2007LSUSEC000021818
2008LSUSEC01428312452

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

6%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
3 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)