Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rachaad White
Rachaad White

Player breakdown

Rachaad White

Arizona St. · 2022 Draft Class

6-0214 lbs3rd round, 91st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

93%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022TAM171294811502902771
2023TAM1727299066454931,539
2024TAM1614461335139361,006
2025TAM171325724402180790
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2020Arizona StateBig 1204242058151571
2021Arizona StateBig 1201821,00615434561,462

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

93%

ML model output

Context Prob

93%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.48s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 91.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

51 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Conference-adjusted speed score: 95.6 — speed measured against quality competition-0.173
1,016 avg yards/season — elite per-season output-0.170

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)