Player breakdown
Rashard Mendenhall
Illinois · 2008 Draft Class
5-10225 lbs1st round, 23rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~39
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | PIT | 4 | 19 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 75 |
| 2009 | PIT | 16 | 242 | 1,108 | 7 | 25 | 261 | 1 | 1,369 |
| 2010 | PIT | 16 | 324 | 1,273 | 13 | 23 | 167 | 0 | 1,440 |
| 2011 | PIT | 15 | 228 | 928 | 9 | 18 | 154 | 0 | 1,082 |
| 2012 | PIT | 6 | 51 | 182 | 0 | 9 | 62 | 1 | 244 |
| 2013 | ARI | 15 | 217 | 687 | 8 | 18 | 134 | 0 | 821 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Illinois | Big Ten | 2 | 48 | 218 | 0 | 13 | 82 | 300 |
| 2006 | Illinois | Big Ten | 5 | 78 | 640 | 5 | 12 | 164 | 804 |
| 2007 | Illinois | Big Ten | 9 | 245 | 1,526 | 16 | 29 | 259 | 1,785 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
92%
ML model output
Context Prob
92%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 119.0 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.41s forty — average speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
4.18s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
7.93 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
54 career receptions — limited volume-0.278