Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rasheen Ali
Rasheen Ali

Player breakdown

Rasheen Ali

Marshall · 2024 Draft Class

5-11206 lbs5th round, 165th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

19%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2024BAL61031000031
2025BAL157240968192
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2020MarshallSun Belt052200022
2021MarshallSun Belt02301,24120453371,578
2022MarshallSun Belt0321810210191
2023MarshallSun Belt122031,04314282131,256

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

19%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

37 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175
Rb rush yards per game+0.145

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
7.66 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.305

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)