Player breakdown
Ray Davis
Kentucky · 2024 Draft Class
4th round, 128th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~26
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
49%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | BUF | 17 | 113 | 442 | 3 | 17 | 189 | 3 | 631 |
| 2025 | BUF | 17 | 58 | 275 | 0 | 10 | 86 | 2 | 361 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Temple | American Athletic | 6 | 178 | 900 | 7 | 13 | 137 | 1,037 |
| 2020 | Temple | American Athletic | 2 | 78 | 308 | 1 | 12 | 62 | 370 |
| 2021 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1 | 44 | 211 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 238 |
| 2022 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 0 | 232 | 1,042 | 5 | 29 | 169 | 1,211 |
| 2023 | Kentucky | SEC | 13 | 186 | 1,066 | 13 | 29 | 317 | 1,383 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
49%
ML model output
Context Prob
49%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
1,383 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.351
20 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284