Player breakdown
Ray Rice
Rutgers · 2008 Draft Class
5-8199 lbs2nd round, 55th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~39
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
67%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | BAL | 13 | 107 | 454 | 0 | 33 | 273 | 0 | 727 |
| 2009 | BAL | 16 | 254 | 1,339 | 7 | 78 | 702 | 1 | 2,041 |
| 2010 | BAL | 16 | 307 | 1,220 | 5 | 63 | 556 | 1 | 1,776 |
| 2011 | BAL | 16 | 291 | 1,364 | 12 | 76 | 704 | 3 | 2,068 |
| 2012 | BAL | 16 | 257 | 1,143 | 9 | 61 | 478 | 1 | 1,621 |
| 2013 | BAL | 15 | 214 | 660 | 4 | 58 | 321 | 0 | 981 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 3 | 175 | 1,012 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 1,051 |
| 2006 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 11 | 311 | 1,624 | 19 | 4 | 30 | 1,654 |
| 2007 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 10 | 345 | 1,732 | 20 | 23 | 224 | 1,956 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
67%
ML model output
Context Prob
67%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,553 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.42s forty — average speed+0.395
Conference-adjusted speed score: 104.3 — speed measured against quality competition+0.280
Top Negative Factors
4.20s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
9.83 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324