Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Raymond Calais
Raymond Calais

Player breakdown

Raymond Calais

Louisiana · 2020 Draft Class

5-8188 lbs7th round, 245th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

52%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2016LouisianaSun Belt023117100117
2017LouisianaSun Belt0158811997
2018LouisianaSun Belt0787136669782
2019LouisianaSun Belt01128676869936

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

52%

ML model output

Context Prob

52%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.42s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300
15 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)