Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rex Burkhead
Rex Burkhead

Player breakdown

Rex Burkhead

Nebraska · 2013 Draft Class

6th round, 190th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014CIN99271749076
2015CIN164401094198
2016CIN16743442171450489
2017NWE10642645302543518
2018NWE8571860141311317
2019NWE13653023272790581
2020NWE10672743251923466
2021HOU161224273251860613
2022HOU1626800372041284
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009NebraskaBig Ten08134931390439
2010NebraskaBig Ten01609127131361,048
2011NebraskaBig Ten02611,26815161421,410
2012NebraskaBig Ten09867551192767

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

30%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
35 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)